Advanced Earthquake Recurrence Models

Animation

Select a model and press Start

Model Selection

Time-Predictable Slip-Predictable Aseismic Creep

Time-Predictable Model

The fault always breaks at the same stress level, but the stress drop varies. A larger preceding earthquake (bigger stress drop) means a longer wait time until the next one.

Interactive Recurrence Models with Rate-and-State Friction

Harvard EPS55

Animation

Model Selection

Time-Predictable Model

Stress vs. Time (Cumulative)